Reason Number 23 - Graying Reds

Posted by Unknown Selasa, 19 Agustus 2008 0 komentar
‘Fault Lines On The Face Of China: 50 Reasons Why China May Never Be Great’ - Excerpt 43
“China’s constant talk of a ‘peaceful rise’ and of ‘peaceful development’ is an attempt to create an image of a young and dynamic new economy. The astonishing growth of the country’s economy in recent years can make it appear like a strong economic youngster growing into powerful and confident world of developed countries.

Yet real Chinese society is gray, both in age and numbers. According to the World Health Organization, an ‘aging society’ is either one in which 10% of the population is over 60 years old or (in another measure) 7% of the population is over 65.

Nationwide, by the end of 2005, China had almost 144 million people over the age of 60, accounting for 11% of the entire population. The number of elderly people is rising fast, at 3% a year overall, with the number of those over 80 rising by 5% a year. By 2010, other estimates say China will have 174 million people over 60, more than 20 million of whom will be over 80.

By 2025, there will be 280 million people in China over the age of 60. By 2045, that number will have risen to 400 million. The average age in China, which was around 30 in 2000, will rise to 39 by 2025. By 2040 the average age will be 44, meaning the country will age faster in a generation than Europe has in a century. To put it another way, by 2050 average age will be three years higher than average lifespan was in 1950.”


Many of the commentators on this blog say that China is the coming nation. China is developing, they write – China is getting stronger every day. And that is a China I would like to see – strong, confident, just, capable and creative.

But how can that China ever come into existence when so many of its citizens are elderly, and when so many of its youth are taught to think and act like the elderly – conservative, inflexible, convinced they understand the world?

‘Fault Lines On The Face Of China: 50 Reasons Why China May Never Be Great’ - Excerpt 44
“China’s dilemma is that it will grow old before it grows rich. As the number of elderly continues to rise and China’s use of the one-child policy prevents an increase in younger people to support them, the situation will get exponentially worse.

By 2050, by some estimates the average lifespan will be an incredible 85 years old. This means many one of the one-child workers of the future will have to devote even more resources to supporting two retired parents and four retired grandparents. About 65% of the elderly population in rural areas receive no benefits from China’s social welfare system. By 2040, when China’s aged population will be at its peak, the country’s social security budget will have a shortfall of US$128 billion annually.

China’s government has plenty of bland pronouncements to make about its attitude towards the elderly. 'The State values and cherishes senior citizens for their knowledge, experience and skills, and respects them for their good ethical values. It thus makes vigorous efforts to create good conditions for senior citizens to bring into full play their expertise and capability, and gives them encouragement and support to integrate into society and continue to make contributions to the social development of China' said a recent white paper on the elderly from the Information Office of China’s State Council. But apart from mentioning current facts and figures – such as that the nation had only 20,000 professional nurses for the aged by the end of 2005, the 7,500 word document (released at the end of 2006) had almost nothing concrete to say about what needs to be done in the future.”


Still some days to go in the Olympics. The world's eyes remain on China. 'T' for Tibet and 'X' for Xinjiang.
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Judul: Reason Number 23 - Graying Reds
Ditulis oleh Unknown
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